Independiente Rivadavia — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 03.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
66.7%
Home win
Independiente Rivadavia
X
22.1%
Draw
W2
11.2%
Away win
CA Banfield
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X88.8%
Both teams to score
No53.4%
Totals 2.5
Over52.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.8% |
| 12 | 77.9% | |
| X2 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
Independiente Rivadavia × CA Banfield
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.4%
0:1
3.3%
0:2
1.7%
0:3
0.4%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
11.4%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
3.4%
1:3
0.8%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.9%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
0.9%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
8.8%
3:1
6.5%
3:2
2.4%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
4.5%
4:1
3.3%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.9%
5:1
1.4%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.9%
1:011.4%
1:110.5%
2:19.5%
3:08.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:1
- 17.10.2026 home Tigre 2:2
- 11.10.2026 away Rosario Central 0:5
- 03.10.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:1
- 21.09.2026 away Barracas Central 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Lanus 1:1
- 17.10.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
- 10.10.2026 away Tigre 2:1
- 06.10.2026 home Rosario Central 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 2:2
This season: Independiente Rivadavia at home vs CA Banfield away
| Metric | Independiente Rivadavia · at home | CA Banfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 10–3–3 | 3–3–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.13 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
Independiente Rivadavia wins0
Draws2
CA Banfield wins3
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored3/5
Over 2.5 goals2/5
- 20.04.2026 CA Banfield 0:0 Independiente Rivadavia
- 18.10.2025 Independiente Rivadavia 1:2 CA Banfield
- 11.04.2025 CA Banfield 1:1 Independiente Rivadavia
- 24.09.2024 CA Banfield 2:0 Independiente Rivadavia
- 01.04.2024 Independiente Rivadavia 1:2 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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