Atletico Tucuman — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 03.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
28.9%
Home win
Atletico Tucuman
X
30.9%
Draw
W2
40.2%
Away win
Argentinos Juniors
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X271.1%
Both teams to score
No51.6%
Totals 2.5
Under58.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.8% |
| 12 | 69.1% | |
| X2 | 71.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.7% / 11.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.1% / 58.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.6% / 79.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
Goal distribution model
Atletico Tucuman × Argentinos Juniors
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.3%
0:1
11.0%
0:2
8.0%
0:3
3.4%
0:4
1.1%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.7%
1:1
14.6%
1:2
8.4%
1:3
3.6%
1:4
1.1%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
5.4%
2:1
6.9%
2:2
4.4%
2:3
1.9%
2:4
0.6%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
1.9%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.5%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.6%
0:011.3%
0:111.0%
1:08.7%
1:28.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Tigre 1:0
- 18.10.2026 home Rosario Central 2:3
- 09.10.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 1:1
- 03.10.2026 home Barracas Central 2:3
- 21.09.2026 away Aldosivi 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 1:0
- 17.10.2026 away Banfield 1:0
- 11.10.2026 away Platense 1:1
- 04.10.2026 home Tigre 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Rosario Central 0:1
This season: Atletico Tucuman at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 2–8–5 | 5–5–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Atletico Tucuman wins1
Draws3
Argentinos Juniors wins2
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 19.04.2026 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 30.09.2024 Argentinos Juniors 0:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 07.02.2024 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 Argentinos Juniors
- 03.09.2023 Argentinos Juniors 2:2 Atletico Tucuman
- 13.05.2023 Atletico Tucuman 1:2 Argentinos Juniors
- 20.09.2022 Argentinos Juniors 1:2 Atletico Tucuman
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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