Getafe CF — Brighton & Hove Albion: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
22.9%
Home win
Getafe CF
X
26.8%
Draw
W2
50.3%
Away win
Brighton & Hove Albion
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X277.1%
Both teams to score
Yes50.7%
Totals 2.5
Under52.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.7% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 77.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Goal distribution model
Getafe CF × Brighton & Hove Albion
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.5%
0:1
11.3%
0:2
9.5%
0:3
5.0%
0:4
2.0%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
6.8%
1:1
12.8%
1:2
9.5%
1:3
5.0%
1:4
2.0%
1:5
0.6%
2
2:0
3.8%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
4.7%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
1.2%
3:1
2.0%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.3%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.8%
0:111.3%
0:29.5%
1:29.5%
0:08.5%
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.