FC Twente Enschede — Pafos FC: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
62.5%
Home win
FC Twente Enschede
X
21.2%
Draw
W2
16.4%
Away win
Pafos FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X83.6%
Both teams to score
Yes55.1%
Totals 2.5
Over59.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.6% |
| 12 | 78.8% | |
| X2 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.4% / 18.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.7% / 63.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.0% / 91.0% |
Goal distribution model
FC Twente Enschede × Pafos FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.1%
0:1
4.1%
0:2
2.2%
0:3
0.7%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.3%
1:1
10.0%
1:2
4.7%
1:3
1.5%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
4.9%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
7.1%
3:1
6.9%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3.6%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.5%
5:1
1.5%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.2%
1:110.0%
2:19.9%
1:09.3%
3:07.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:0
- 18.10.2026 home Utrecht 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away For Sittard 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 3:2
- 12.09.2026 home Den Haag 2:0
Pafos FC
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home Riga FC 1:1
- 15.10.2026 away Atalanta BC 1:3
- 13.08.2026 home FC Salzburg 3:3
- 06.08.2026 away FC Salzburg 0:1
- 30.07.2026 home HNK Hajduk Split 4:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.