Galatasaray Istanbul — VfB Stuttgart: Win probabilities, 03.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
41.8%
Home win
Galatasaray Istanbul
X
25.2%
Draw
W2
33.0%
Away win
VfB Stuttgart
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.8%
Both teams to score
Yes71.8%
Totals 2.5
Over70.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.0% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 71.8% / 28.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.6% / 10.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.1% / 69.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
Goal distribution model
Galatasaray Istanbul × VfB Stuttgart
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.4%
0:1
2.7%
0:2
3.8%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
3.3%
1:1
10.4%
1:2
7.4%
1:3
4.2%
1:4
1.8%
1:5
0.6%
2
2:0
4.9%
2:1
8.4%
2:2
7.2%
2:3
4.1%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
3.1%
3:1
5.4%
3:2
4.6%
3:3
2.6%
3:4
1.1%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
1.5%
4:1
2.6%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.6%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:110.4%
2:18.4%
1:27.4%
2:27.2%
3:15.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Fenerbahce 2:1
- 17.10.2026 away Genclerbirligi 1:0
- 09.10.2026 home Kasimpasa 3:1
- 19.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:4
- 13.09.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 home M'gladbach 2:3
- 17.10.2026 away Hamburg 0:1
- 10.10.2026 away Paderborn 2:0
- 19.09.2026 home Dortmund 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Hoffenheim 1:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.