Bodoe/Glimt — Lille OSC: Win probabilities, 03.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
52.0%
Home win
Bodoe/Glimt
X
24.5%
Draw
W2
23.5%
Away win
Lille OSC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X76.5%
Both teams to score
Yes67.0%
Totals 2.5
Over67.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.5% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.5% / 12.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.5% / 73.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Goal distribution model
Bodoe/Glimt × Lille OSC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.9%
0:1
2.7%
0:2
3.0%
0:3
1.4%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
4.9%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
6.2%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
1.0%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.8%
2:1
9.4%
2:2
6.5%
2:3
3.0%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
4.7%
3:1
6.5%
3:2
4.5%
3:3
2.0%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
2.5%
4:1
3.4%
4:2
2.3%
4:3
1.1%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.4%
5:2
1.0%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
2:19.4%
2:06.8%
3:16.5%
2:26.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.11.2026
Bodoe/Glimt
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.10.2026 away SSC Napoli 3:4
- 14.10.2026 home Borussia Dortmund 1:0
- 10.09.2026 away Bayern Munich 0:5
- 11.08.2026 home Union Saint-Gilloise 3:2
- 04.08.2026 away Union Saint-Gilloise 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Monaco 1:1
- 17.10.2026 home Brest 1:1
- 10.10.2026 home Le Havre 1:0
- 20.09.2026 away Nice 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Troyes 2:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.