FC Dallas — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 29.10.2026

FC Dallas have a slight edge heading into this MLS meeting with Columbus Crew, primarily because of their strong home record this season. They have won eight of their fifteen home matches, drawing five and losing only twice, while scoring 29 goals. Their recent form is also encouraging, with three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. These results suggest that FC Dallas have the consistency and attacking output to make the most of home advantage, although their defensive record indicates that opportunities may be available to the visitors.

Columbus Crew arrive in good recent form, having won four of their last five matches and scored 13 goals during that run. Their attacking threat should not be underestimated, but their away performances have been a significant weakness. In fifteen away matches this season, they have suffered nine defeats and conceded 30 goals, which gives FC Dallas a clear opportunity to exploit defensive vulnerabilities. The visitors have also avoided defeat in four of the last six head-to-head meetings, winning twice, while the most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.

Overall, FC Dallas hold a narrow advantage, with their home consistency contrasting with Columbus Crew's struggles on the road. Both sides have shown enough attacking quality to suggest goals at both ends, making an open contest a reasonable expectation.