Charlton Athletic — Queens Park Rangers: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.7% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.3% / 43.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.2% / 22.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.1% / 70.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Charlton Athletic
8th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Stoke 0:4
- 02.09.2026 away West Brom 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Preston 1:0
- 22.08.2026 away West Ham 2:1
- 15.08.2026 home Derby 2:1
Queens Park Rangers
5th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Middlesbrough 0:1
- 02.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Bolton 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Portsmouth 3:1
This season: Charlton Athletic at home vs Queens Park Rangers away
| Metric | Charlton Athletic · at home | Queens Park Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.92 | 1.71 |
| xG against per match | 0.96 | 1.55 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 06.02.2026 Charlton Athletic 0:0 Queens Park Rangers
- 30.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers 3:1 Charlton Athletic
- 27.06.2020 Charlton Athletic 1:0 Queens Park Rangers
- 21.12.2019 Queens Park Rangers 2:2 Charlton Athletic
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Charlton Athletic face Queens Park Rangers in a Championship match where the visitors hold a slight edge. The assessment points towards a competitive contest rather than a strongly one-sided game, with Queens Park Rangers having the clearer position in the outcome view. The market signal also supports a result that would favour the visitors or end level, keeping Charlton Athletic within the range of plausible outcomes.
The expected profile is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1 identified as the likeliest scorelines. That range reflects a match where Queens Park Rangers may have enough to avoid defeat, while Charlton Athletic remain capable of contributing to the score. Whether both teams score is regarded as evenly balanced, so there is no strong indication in either direction on that specific point. Overall, the strongest reading is a high-confidence but measured preference for Queens Park Rangers, with a draw still a meaningful alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Dan McNamara Suspended for Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic defender Dan McNamara is unavailable for the match against Queens Park Rangers following his red card against Stoke City.
Recent Championship Results
Both clubs enter the fixture level on 10 points after five matches, with Charlton Athletic coming off a 4-0 defeat to Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers recently losing 1-0 to Middlesbrough.
Queens Park Rangers Availability News
Queens Park Rangers enter the London derby without creative midfielder Ilias Chair, alongside several other squad absentees including Karamoko Dembele.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.