SC Corinthians SP — Mirassol FC SP: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
56.6%
Home win
SC Corinthians SP
X
24.6%
Draw
W2
18.8%
Away win
Mirassol FC SP
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X81.2%
Both teams to score
No51.4%
Totals 2.5
Under51.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.2% |
| 12 | 75.4% | |
| X2 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.2% / 7.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.4% / 73.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Goal distribution model
SC Corinthians SP × Mirassol FC SP
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.8%
0:1
6.2%
0:2
2.9%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
12.3%
1:1
11.7%
1:2
5.0%
1:3
1.5%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.9%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
1.3%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
6.2%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
2.4%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.7%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:012.3%
1:111.7%
2:010.9%
2:19.7%
0:07.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026
SC Corinthians SP
18th place · 33 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Vasco 2:3
- 20.10.2026 home Vitoria 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Palmeiras 1:4
- 07.10.2026 away Internacional 1:2
- 20.09.2026 home Fluminense 1:3
Mirassol FC SP
15th place · 37 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Sao Paulo 1:1
- 17.10.2026 home Internacional 2:0
- 11.10.2026 away Bahia 0:1
- 07.10.2026 away Bragantino 1:1
- 19.09.2026 home Botafogo RJ 2:0
This season: SC Corinthians SP at home vs Mirassol FC SP away
| Metric | SC Corinthians SP · at home | Mirassol FC SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–7 | 2–4–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.06 | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
SC Corinthians SP wins1
Draws0
Mirassol FC SP wins2
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored2/3
Over 2.5 goals3/3
- 04.05.2026 Mirassol FC SP 2:1 SC Corinthians SP
- 05.10.2025 SC Corinthians SP 3:0 Mirassol FC SP
- 10.05.2025 Mirassol FC SP 2:1 SC Corinthians SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.60 → now 1.70 |
| W2 | was 5.50 → now 4.75 |
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.