Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — Botafogo FR RJ: Win probabilities, 29.10.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 32.8% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 26.6% Draw
W2 40.6% Away win Botafogo FR RJ
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.4%
Both teams to score
Yes61.9%
Totals 2.5
Over58.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X59.4%
1273.4%
X267.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No61.9% / 38.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.9% / 6.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 81.7% / 18.3%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 58.2% / 41.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 35.8% / 64.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 18.9% / 81.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 8.6% / 91.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × Botafogo FR RJ
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.1%
0:1 6.5%
0:2 6.2%
0:3 3.3%
0:4 1.3%
0:5 0.4%
1
1:0 5.6%
1:1 12.4%
1:2 8.9%
1:3 4.7%
1:4 1.9%
1:5 0.6%
2
2:0 4.9%
2:1 7.9%
2:2 6.3%
2:3 3.4%
2:4 1.3%
2:5 0.4%
3
3:0 2.3%
3:1 3.7%
3:2 3.0%
3:3 1.6%
3:4 0.6%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.3%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.6%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.4%
1:28.9%
2:17.9%
0:16.5%
2:26.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.10.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 26 pts after 32

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.10.2026 away Cruzeiro 0:1
  • 18.10.2026 home Bragantino 1:1
  • 10.10.2026 away Vasco 0:0
  • 07.10.2026 home Gremio 1:1
  • 19.09.2026 home Santos 1:2

Botafogo FR RJ

11th place · 39 pts after 32

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.10.2026 away Internacional 0:3
  • 17.10.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 1:0
  • 12.10.2026 away Coritiba 1:1
  • 08.10.2026 home Vasco 1:2
  • 19.09.2026 away Mirassol 0:2

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs Botafogo FR RJ away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home Botafogo FR RJ · away
Matches1616
W–D–L3–7–64–3–9
Goals scored per match1.251.13
Goals conceded per match1.311.81
Over 2.5 goals38%56%
Both teams scored69%63%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins1
Draws0
Botafogo FR RJ wins0
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
  • 02.05.2026 Botafogo FR RJ 1:2 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA host Botafogo FR RJ in Brasileiro Serie A in a contest that looks relatively evenly matched despite the difference in league positions. The hosts sit 19th with 26 points from 32 matches and have struggled for consistency, recording three draws and two defeats in their last five outings. Botafogo FR RJ occupy 11th place with 39 points, although their recent form is also unconvincing, with just one victory in five matches and eight goals conceded during that period.

Home advantage could help Clube do Remo PA remain competitive, but their record of three wins and seven draws from 16 home fixtures suggests that turning competitive performances into victories has been difficult. Botafogo FR RJ have also struggled on their travels, losing nine of their 16 away matches. The previous meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Clube do Remo PA, providing another reason not to underestimate the hosts.

Overall, neither side appears sufficiently convincing to establish a decisive advantage. A medium-scoring encounter with both teams finding the net looks plausible. A draw or narrow Botafogo FR RJ victory represents a reasonable overall reading, with 1-1 and 1-2 among the possible outcomes.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Botafogo squad absences

Botafogo traveled for the away fixture without the suspended Álvaro Montoro and Danilo, who is sidelined with muscle discomfort.

Schedule

Botafogo's recent league result

Botafogo enter the match following a heavy 3-0 away defeat against Internacional in Serie A.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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