Fluminense FC RJ — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026

Fluminense FC RJ enter this Brasileiro Serie A fixture with a slight overall edge, supported primarily by their strong home record and higher league position. They sit fifth with 51 points after 32 matches, while SC Internacional RS are sixteenth with 35 points. Fluminense FC RJ have won 11 of their 16 home matches this season, drawing three and losing only twice. That consistency at home provides a solid foundation, although their recent form has been less convincing, with three defeats in their last five matches.

SC Internacional RS have shown mixed results recently, recording two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five games. Their away performances remain a concern, with just three victories in 16 matches on the road, alongside six draws and seven losses. They have also conceded 23 goals away from home, suggesting Fluminense FC RJ may find opportunities to influence the contest. However, the previous meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for SC Internacional RS, demonstrating that the visitors can pose a challenge.

The overall balance favours Fluminense FC RJ, particularly given the contrast in home and away records. A moderately scoring match looks plausible, with a narrow home victory or a draw representing reasonable possibilities. SC Internacional RS have enough recent attacking output to remain competitive, but maintaining defensive discipline away from home will be important.