Coritiba FC PR — EC Vitoria BA: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.5%
Home win
Coritiba FC PR
X
27.1%
Draw
W2
30.4%
Away win
EC Vitoria BA
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1272.9%
Both teams to score
Yes55.4%
Totals 2.5
Over50.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.6% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 57.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.1% / 23.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.9% / 86.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Goal distribution model
Coritiba FC PR × EC Vitoria BA
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.4%
0:1
7.3%
0:2
5.0%
0:3
2.0%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
9.1%
1:1
12.9%
1:2
7.4%
1:3
3.0%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.3%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
5.5%
2:3
2.2%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.4%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.9%
1:09.1%
2:19.0%
0:07.4%
1:27.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Coritiba FC PR
12th place · 39 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Gremio 0:1
- 17.10.2026 away Atletico-MG 0:1
- 12.10.2026 home Botafogo RJ 1:1
- 09.10.2026 away Fluminense 0:4
- 20.09.2026 away Vasco 0:5
EC Vitoria BA
14th place · 38 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Athletico-PR 1:1
- 20.10.2026 away Corinthians 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:2
- 08.10.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 4:0
- 20.09.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:3
This season: Coritiba FC PR at home vs EC Vitoria BA away
| Metric | Coritiba FC PR · at home | EC Vitoria BA · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 5–5–6 | 0–6–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 63% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Coritiba FC PR wins1
Draws1
EC Vitoria BA wins4
Goals per match2.33
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 02.05.2026 EC Vitoria BA 4:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 29.08.2017 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 EC Vitoria BA
- 28.05.2017 EC Vitoria BA 0:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 28.11.2016 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 EC Vitoria BA
- 03.08.2016 EC Vitoria BA 3:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 19.11.2014 EC Vitoria BA 1:1 Coritiba FC PR
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.