Bayern Munich — Bodoe/Glimt: Win probabilities, 10.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 97.8% |
| 12 | 95.1% | |
| X2 | 7.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.4% / 0.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 76.2% / 23.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 41.8% / 58.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Bayern Munich go into this UEFA Champions League fixture as the clearly stronger side, with the available assessment giving the hosts a high-confidence advantage over Bodoe/Glimt. The scoring outlook is also high, suggesting a match in which Bayern Munich should be able to create sustained pressure and generate several opportunities. Bodoe/Glimt will need to remain disciplined defensively and make efficient use of any chances created in transition.
The expectation is for Bayern Munich to control territory and possession for long periods, while Bodoe/Glimt may focus on compact defending and limiting space around their penalty area. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the main distinction is the hosts' stronger overall attacking projection rather than a clear expectation that Bodoe/Glimt will find the net. The most likely scorelines point toward a decisive Bayern Munich victory, with 4-0, 3-0 and 5-0 among the leading scenarios.
What matters before kick-off
Bayern's recent draw
Ahead of their Champions League opener, Bayern Munich were held to a 0-0 draw by Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga despite controlling 83% of possession.
Bayern's opening game record
Bayern Munich have won all 22 of their opening matches in the UEFA Champions League since 2003.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.