St. Johnstone FC — Celtic Glasgow: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 32.6% |
| 12 | 80.5% | |
| X2 | 86.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.5% / 18.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.0% / 63.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.8% / 80.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.2% / 90.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
St. Johnstone FC
6th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away St Mirren 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 4:3
- 01.05.2026 away Ayr 1:0
- 24.04.2026 home Raith Rvs 2:0
- 21.04.2026 away Dunfermline 2:0
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 5:1
- 03.08.2026 home Dundee 1:0
- 16.05.2026 home Hearts 3:1
- 13.05.2026 away Motherwell 3:2
- 10.05.2026 home Rangers 3:1
This season: St. Johnstone FC at home vs Celtic Glasgow away
| Metric | St. Johnstone FC · at home | Celtic Glasgow · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.77 | 5.64 |
| xG against per match | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 06.04.2025 St. Johnstone FC 1:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 29.12.2024 Celtic Glasgow 4:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 28.09.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:6 Celtic Glasgow
- 16.03.2024 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 03.12.2023 St. Johnstone FC 1:3 Celtic Glasgow
- 26.08.2023 Celtic Glasgow 0:0 St. Johnstone FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St. Johnstone FC face a difficult Premiership assignment against Celtic Glasgow, with the visitors holding the clearer overall edge. The assessment points towards an away win, but the moderate confidence suggests that the matchup should be approached with some caution rather than treated as decisive. Celtic Glasgow are expected to have the stronger platform, while St. Johnstone FC will need to make the contest competitive through discipline and efficiency in the key moments.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, indicating a match that could produce several meaningful chances without necessarily becoming an open exchange from the start. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so the main distinction between the sides is the stronger outcome signal in favour of Celtic Glasgow rather than a firm view on the scoring of St. Johnstone FC. Overall, the visitors appear better positioned, while the hosts retain a plausible route to keeping the margin narrow.
What matters before kick-off
Match postponed due to European competition
The Scottish Premiership fixture between St. Johnstone and Celtic scheduled for August 22, 2026, has been postponed due to Celtic's involvement in European qualifiers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.