Dundee United — Dundee FC: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.7% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.1% / 22.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Dundee United
11th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Hearts 0:4
- 31.07.2026 home Rangers 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away St Mirren 1:1
- 12.05.2026 home Livingston 0:0
- 09.05.2026 away Aberdeen 0:2
Dundee FC
5th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Aberdeen 2:0
- 03.08.2026 away Celtic 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Aberdeen 3:2
- 12.05.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:3
- 09.05.2026 home Livingston 3:0
This season: Dundee United at home vs Dundee FC away
| Metric | Dundee United · at home | Dundee FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.64 | 0.47 |
| xG against per match | 1.46 | 2.55 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.04.2026 Dundee United 3:0 Dundee FC
- 15.03.2026 Dundee FC 2:2 Dundee United
- 03.01.2026 Dundee United 0:1 Dundee FC
- 31.08.2025 Dundee FC 0:2 Dundee United
- 16.03.2025 Dundee United 2:4 Dundee FC
- 02.01.2025 Dundee FC 1:2 Dundee United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee United face Dundee FC in the Premiership on 22 August 2026, with the hosts holding a slight edge in the pre-match assessment. The overall outlook points toward a competitive fixture rather than a one-sided contest, and the home advantage gives Dundee United the stronger position without removing the possibility of a draw.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. That combination suggests a game that could develop through cautious phases before opening up, with neither side clearly dominant for the full ninety minutes. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0, reflecting the narrow separation between the teams and the possibility of a low-margin home result. The main result signal favours Dundee United avoiding defeat, although Dundee FC remain capable of making the contest difficult and securing a share of the points.
What matters before kick-off
First Dundee Derby of the Season
Dundee United host Dundee FC at Tannadice Park on August 22, 2026, in the first Dundee derby of the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership season.
Home Stands Sold Out
Dundee United announced that all home stands at Tannadice Park are completely sold out for the derby against Dundee FC.
Stadium Proximity
The Dundee derby features the two closest football stadiums in British professional football, with Dundee United's Tannadice Park and Dundee FC's Dens Park located just 183 metres apart.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.