Dundee FC — Aberdeen FC: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.2% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.8% / 69.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Dundee FC and Aberdeen FC meet in the Premiership in what looks like an evenly matched contest. The available assessment gives Dundee FC a slight protection through the home win-or-draw signal, but the moderate confidence level means the balance remains finely poised rather than pointing clearly toward one side. Neither team has a decisive analytical advantage in the information provided.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, with both teams scoring considered an uncertain possibility. The most plausible score patterns remain close: 1:1, 2:1, or 1:2. That range reflects a game where small differences in execution could shape the outcome, while a draw is also a credible scenario. Overall, Dundee FC may have a narrow positional edge at home, but Aberdeen FC remain well placed to make this competitive through the final stages.
What matters before kick-off
Dundee's opening match result
Dundee opened their new Scottish Premiership campaign with a narrow 1-0 defeat away to reigning champions Celtic on August 3, 2026.
Aberdeen's comeback victory in opener
Aberdeen kicked off their Scottish Premiership season with a dramatic 2-1 home win over Hearts, securing the victory through a 90th-minute equalizer by Lewis Mayo and a stoppage-time penalty from Kevin Nisbet.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.