KI Klaksvik — KKS Lech Poznan: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.4% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 80.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.6% / 62.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.2% / 79.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KI Klaksvik face KKS Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League qualification, with the visitors holding a slight edge in a contest that appears difficult to call with confidence. The assessment points towards an away advantage, but the low confidence level suggests that the difference between the teams may be narrow rather than decisive. KI Klaksvik should still have a realistic opportunity to compete closely if they can keep the match balanced.
The scoring outlook is more open, with a high-scoring game indicated. Both teams scoring remains finely balanced, so neither side has a clear statistical advantage in that specific area. The most plausible scorelines include a narrow KKS Lech Poznan win, a draw, or a low-margin away victory, reflecting the uncertainty around the fixture. Overall, KKS Lech Poznan have the stronger projection, but the match could develop into an even contest with chances at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
Lech Poznan secured a 1-0 home victory over KI Klaksvik in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie thanks to an 81st-minute goal by Yannick Agnero.
Travel disruption due to heavy fog
Lech Poznan faced two days of travel disruptions caused by heavy fog in the Faroe Islands, landing just hours before their second-leg match against KI Klaksvik.
Return of Hallur Hansson
KI Klaksvik midfielder Hallur Hansson is available for selection after serving a one-match suspension for accumulating three yellow cards.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.