KI Klaksvik — KKS Lech Poznan: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.4% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 80.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.6% / 22.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KI Klaksvik face KKS Lech Poznan in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie that appears finely balanced in several aspects, but with a slight edge for the visitors. The available assessment points toward KKS Lech Poznan having the stronger overall outlook, although the low confidence level means the difference between the teams should not be overstated. KI Klaksvik will still have a competitive route into the match, particularly if they can keep the contest close and prevent the visitors from establishing control early.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, suggesting a match with opportunities at both ends rather than a clear expectation of a defensive stalemate. Whether both teams score is considered evenly poised, so there is no firm indication that either side will find the net. Overall, KKS Lech Poznan hold the marginal advantage, but the cautious assessment points to a potentially close qualification encounter in which small moments could shape the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Match delayed due to weather disruptions
The second leg qualification tie between KÍ Klaksvík and Lech Poznań faced scheduling changes following travel delays caused by heavy fog over the Faroe Islands.
First leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, Lech Poznań secured a 1-0 win over KÍ Klaksvík thanks to a goal from Yannick Agnero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.