KI Klaksvik — KKS Lech Poznan: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.4% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 80.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.6% / 22.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KI Klaksvik face KKS Lech Poznan in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the low confidence level points to a match with meaningful uncertainty. KKS Lech Poznan appear marginally better placed to control the overall balance, but KI Klaksvik should remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the game structured and limit clear opportunities.
The scoring outlook is for a medium-scoring contest, with plausible results including 0:1, 0:2 and 1:2. That range suggests KKS Lech Poznan may have enough attacking quality to make the difference, yet not necessarily dominate throughout. The prospect of both teams scoring is difficult to separate, making this less clear-cut than the away lean alone might suggest. A disciplined performance from KI Klaksvik could keep the tie close, while KKS Lech Poznan will look to turn their small advantage into a controlled result.
What matters before kick-off
Travel disruptions delay Lech's arrival
Lech Poznan experienced severe travel delays due to heavy fog in the Faroe Islands, causing their flight to be diverted to Bergen before landing in Vágar, which led to the match kick-off being pushed back.
First leg qualification result
In the first leg of the Europa League third qualifying round on August 6, Lech Poznan secured a 1-0 home victory against KI Klaksvik courtesy of a late goal from Yannick Agnero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.