Eyupspor — Goztepe Izmir: Win probabilities, 12.10.2026
Full time
✓ Prediction hit
Final result
Eyupspor0
:
4Goztepe Izmir
Locked signal X2
Probability 75.2%
Verdict Hit
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
24.8%
Home win
Eyupspor
X
23.3%
Draw
W2
52.0%
Away win
Goztepe Izmir
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.7%
Both teams to score
Yes56.6%
Totals 2.5
Over55.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 48.0% |
| 12 | 76.7% | |
| X2 | 75.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.8% / 21.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.5% / 66.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.6% / 92.4% |
Goal distribution model
Eyupspor × Goztepe Izmir
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.3%
0:1
9.6%
0:2
8.4%
0:3
5.0%
0:4
2.2%
0:5
0.8%
1
1:0
6.3%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
9.7%
1:3
5.7%
1:4
2.5%
1:5
0.9%
2
2:0
3.6%
2:1
6.3%
2:2
5.6%
2:3
3.3%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
1.4%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.7%
4:2
0.6%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.9%
1:29.7%
0:19.6%
0:28.4%
2:16.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.10.2026
Eyupspor
18th place · 3 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Fenerbahce 0:8
- 12.09.2026 home Rizespor 0:2
- 06.09.2026 away Corum 0:3
- 30.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 2:1
- 23.08.2026 home Gaziantep 0:1
Goztepe Izmir
17th place · 3 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Rizespor 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Alanyaspor 2:2
- 07.09.2026 home Gaziantep 2:4
- 29.08.2026 away Galatasaray 2:3
- 23.08.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:1
This season: Eyupspor at home vs Goztepe Izmir away
| Metric | Eyupspor · at home | Goztepe Izmir · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| xG against per match | 1.29 | 2.46 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Eyupspor wins1
Draws3
Goztepe Izmir wins0
Goals per match0.75
Both teams scored1/4
Over 2.5 goals0/4
- 28.02.2026 Goztepe Izmir 0:0 Eyupspor
- 27.09.2025 Eyupspor 0:0 Goztepe Izmir
- 16.03.2025 Goztepe Izmir 1:1 Eyupspor
- 19.10.2024 Eyupspor 1:0 Goztepe Izmir
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.30 → now 3.50 |
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